Purpose of the
Newsletter
This newsletter provides ideas for
people interested in building wealth, largely through capital gains
on investments in stocks. The newsletter is premised on the
assumption that readers will have other sources of stable income to
meet the requirements of daily life and that they will be in a
position to accept a relatively greater degree of risk for a portion
of their portfolio in order to build their wealth.
I eat my own cooking: all commentary
reflects activity in my personal investment accounts. Through this
newsletter, I will share ideas with the expectation that readers will
assess my thinking critically and make their own investment
decisions. It is not my intention to offer investment management
services nor to recommend portfolio managers. In my experience, it
is far more rewarding and prudent for individuals to take charge of
their own finances. I have always been amazed how otherwise
intelligent people will thoughtlessly abrogate personal
responsibility for their financial well-being and rely on others who
are often poorly informed or hampered by institutional constraints to
act in the best interest of their clients.
The Financial Passage Maker
addresses matters other than building financial wealth, the value of
which is often overestimated in terms of its contribution to a rich
and fulfilling life.
I will issue the The Financial
Passage Maker more or less on a quarterly basis and will
supplement it, when useful, with short notes.
The
Financial Passage Maker - What's in a Name?
In many ways, investing is analogous to
the activity of sailing, hence the name of this newsletter. As a
cruising sailor, I make extensive preparations to reach my
destination safely and in comfort, including: adhering to a rigorous
maintenance program, equipping the boat with the best of safety and
navigational gear, ensuring that captain and crew are prepared, and
by planning routes with care. While I try to travel in fair weather,
I am always alert to change and prepared for adverse conditions. I
take remedial action early when ominous signs appear.
My Background
I was driven to investing by necessity
in the 1980's; namely, the need to have a nest egg to enable me and
my family to survive a potential layoff and retrain for a new career.
This “family driven duty” eventually developed into an
intellectually and financially rewarding pursuit where I consistently
earned more from this activity than from my wages after eight years
of trial and error. I was encouraged by a few friends to
produce a newsletter and share my experience with others.
I have a post graduate degree in Geography
although I studied fine arts briefly and dabbled with molecular
biology. My professional career was spent largely with the
Government of Ontario where I was involved with a variety of
activities: land use and parks planning, policy development, managing
wildlife research, and developing and administering a variety of
programs to nurture collaborative private sector/university research
and the commercialization of research discoveries. My wage-based
career culminated with the founding of an energy research centre
while on secondment to a not-for-profit organization.
I am now
devoting more time to a variety of pursuits including snowboarding,
sailing and golf, musical composition, travel, and this newsletter. I also commit to learning or doing one big new thing each year ... so I never know what lies around the next corner. Two years ago, it was a long walk on the Camino de Santiago de Compostella. This spring, it's a cycling trip notionally along the Mississippi River coupled with completing the outfitting of a trawler on my return.
Most of my research takes place in very
early morning hours as I find it is conducive to uninterrupted
reading and contemplation. It also sets the table for “creative
dreaming” once I return to sleep. (I make up for this by means of a
siesta in with Hunter, our Standard Schnauzer.)
Each new day is an adventure of
opportunity and learning!
General
Investment Approach
I place an emphasis on securing capital
gains for reasons of tax efficiency, although I will pursue
outstanding opportunities for income.
I do not confine myself to
predetermined investment styles or specialize in certain sectors to
the exclusion of others. Often, I concentrate on a few strategic
areas in order to maximize returns where I see fine opportunities as
opposed to maintaining a diverse portfolio simply because it's the
thing to do. Some people may question this approach, but I reckon
that small investors are somewhat more agile than their institutional
counterparts and can “put up an umbrella” or go inside when rain
threatens, i.e., sell off decliners and go to cash.
I place a great emphasis on learning
and independent thought and I read voraciously. For the most part, I
make investments on the basis of strategic ideas which emerge as
result of extensive reading. I refine emerging ideas using a variety
of techniques, each tailored to meet the characteristics of the
“idea”. For example, five years ago, I saw an opportunity and
used a systems approach with the oil and gas industry in
order to build a mental framework to direct subsequent research and
investment.
As a general rule, I place an emphasis
on value investing and “early in on ideas”. As such, I am not
afraid to run against the tide of popular opinion as some of the best
opportunities emerge when market sentiment is at its lowest or
leading ideas are not appreciated generally.
I hold most positions for more than
four years and trade rarely in order to minimize costs.
I recognize that I can be wrong and
exit losing positions without regret.
Management of
Risk
Many people manage their portfolios
with an eye to minimizing losses and preserving capital with the
result that this preoccupation predisposes them to the risk of not
fully realizing gains on winning positions. It is just as important
to maximize returns as it is to minimize losses.
Portfolio gains in the short term are driven largely by
the “magic 10 per cent” of investments that generate outstanding
profits. In order to maximize returns from the magic 10 per cent, I
“ride the winners.” I exploit winning positions fully without
taking profits prematurely. (There are some exceptions to this and I
will address them in the next edition of The Financial
Passage Maker.)
I also place a reliance on the magic of compound growth achieved by investing in sound dividend-paying companies and re-investing the proceeds.
In order to minimize losses, I use a
variety of strategies:
- I adjust the size of initial investments commensurate with perceived risk. I restrict the size of investments in smaller, riskier entities and put proportionately more in more stable entities;
- I try to minimize geopolitical and some financial risks by investing in more stable countries with sound legal systems which respect ownership rights;
- Within reasonable bounds, I diversify investments in various sectors, e.g., major and mid-tier producers, and explorers in the mining industry;
- I have a greater tolerance for price variation in junior companies than in more mature companies; and,
- I try to minimize business risks by investing in entities with sound management, robust financials, clear corporate strategies, and competitive advantages.
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